29 Jun 2008
Monday Double...
Pontefract 15:15 - Indian Art
6f, Class 3 Conditions Stakes, Good, Good to Firm in places
It's not hard to see why this colt by Choisir holds a favourites chance this afternoon. A running on 2nd behind Smokey Storm at Epsom in a listed race last time out is by far the best form on offer to date, and if able to squeeze out a bit more improvement today then should be good enough to take the spoils. (Early Price 5/6F)
UP 5/6F
Windsor 19:40 - Lindelaan
1m, Class 4 Handicap, Good to Firm, Good in places
Having just failed to nab the favourite last time out at Nottingham, The Analyst feels that this contest can go the way of the Sir Michael Stoute runner. This consistent sort seems to do nothing but improve for each run and the trip of 8f should be fine if not a wee bit short if last times perfomance is anything to go by - running on very well at the finish. The main contenders to the selection have form linked in with each other which appears a bit muddling to me so i'll stay clear and let Ryan Moore steer us home. (Early Price 9/4)
WON 5/6F
That 9/4 looks massive now with a non-runner seriously affecting the market. Impressive 4l victory under a powerful Ryan Moore ride.
27 Jun 2008
Friday Double...
Doncaster 17:05 - Non Sucre
7f, Class 4 Handicap - Good
Paul Blockley & Fergal Lynch Team up with Non Sucre in today's 17:05 and the 3 year old colt looks to have a cracking chance of adding to his already impressive career stats. Apart from being outclassed in grade 1 event at Redcar, Non Sucre has not finished outside the top 3 in any of his other 5 starts. Off a feasible mark of 77 and with many of his rivals seemingly more exposed, 4/1 looks to be to big a price to miss. (Early Price 4/1)
Newmarket 18:35 - Hannicean
1m, Class 5 Handicap - Good to Firm
We head to HQ's evening meet to try and land today's double and The Analyst is immediately drawn to the eye catching jockey booking on Ryan Moore on the Michael Jarvis trained Hannicean. With a drop back to 8 furlongs looking the key this consistent gelding deserves to get off the mark this year and this handicap looks to be the ideal opportunity. (Early Price 4/1)
26 Jun 2008
Thursday E/W Double...
Warwick 15:50 - Kay Es Jay E/W
7f, Class 1 Fillies' Listed Stakes - Good to Firm
Unlucky not to have more 1's in the form column Kay Es Jay is a tough consistent filly that looks well in here today after a string of creditable efforts. Down to a mark of 92 and with today's conditions in her favour she looks to good value to ignore in a open looking contest. With the early 10/1 being snapped up the Analyst managed to get on at 9's although Barry Hills charge is as low as 15/2 with some firms already. (Early Price 9/1)
UP 9/1
Newcastle 16:30 - Pentatonic E/W
1m 2f, Class 1 Fillies' Listed Stakes - Good
Luca Cumani's yard could just be coming into something of a purple patch so when the eccentric Italian, now based in Newmarket sends an improving filly all the way up to Newcastle, you have to sit up and take notice. The last three charges to be sent out from the yard have finished 2ND, 1st & 1st and he has a 24% strike rate in the last 14 days. Pentatonic can improve those statistics by landing a blow at a massive price this afternoon. Proven in decent company, she is sure to be suited by the drop in trip and the ease in conditions, and I expect Joe Fanning to make full use of her today. (Early Price 9/1)
4TH 12/1
25 Jun 2008
Wednesday Double...
Salisbury 16:15 - Hustle
1m, Class 2 Handicap - Good to Firm
Nothing really stands out as being "well-in" here in a trappy looking contest so The Analyst draws a conclusion that receiving weight all round, not being beaten far off a similar mark the last two outings and still with possible improvement to come only being a 3 year old, our attention is drawn to the youngest in the field, Hustle and we reckon the colt by Choisir is in with a real shout.
(Early Price 5/2)
4th
Carlisle 16:35 - Lady Rangali
6f, Class 4 Fillies' Handicap - Soft, Good to Soft in places
This looks like a stand out bet to me! With the best form in the race, only a pound higher than her last win two starts back and the ability to act in the conditions, this filly by Danehill Dancer has a 50% win strike rate and takes a drop in class all adding up to what we hope will be another victory. GET ON!
(Early Price 3/1)
2nd
24 Jun 2008
Tuesday E/W Double...
Newton Abbot 19:35 - Osprey View
2m, Class 3 Novices' Chase - Good, Good to Soft in Places
I always keep an eye out for a Twiston-Davies horse first time out over fences, as you know that nothing would have been left to chance with regards to it's jumping and it will be fit and ready to go. A 185 day break from when we last saw Osprey View come down in a hot Aintree Hurdle, suggests that plenty of schooling has taken place and with Paddy Brennan booked to ride this looks to be a solid bet at a very decent each-way price. (Early Price 8/1)
2ND 9/1
Newbury 20:30 - Ever Rigg
1m 2f, Class 4 Fillies' Handicap - Good to Firm
Ed Dunlop and Steven Drowne team up on the smart looking filly, Ever Rigg. Progressive on her only two starts, she already looks as though she is ready for this step up in class and will be suited by the quicker conditions. Having won over 1m 4f, and Newbury being staying track, I see no problem with today's drop back in trip (1m 2f). Lightly raced and with room for improvement, Ever Rigg looks a great bet to land today's each-way double. (Early Price 8/1)
UP 8/1
23 Jun 2008
Monday Night Double...
Windosr 18:40 - Politeia
1m 2f, Class 5 Fillies' Handicap - Good to Firm
Richard Hannon's record in the 1st race at Windsor's evening meets is outstanding and The Analyst doesn't see any reason as to why that should change this tonight. A decent 2ND over a mile at the same track 21 days ago was an improved performance and should she should take all the beating in tonight's class 5 again stepped up again in trip to 1m 2f. (Early Price 9/4)
UP
Windsor 19:40 - Mudhish
6f, Class 4 Handicap - Good to Firm
Everything looks to be in place for the talented Mudhish to run a big race at a massive price. Clive Brittain's tough 3 year old, is off a 2lb lower mark than when losing his maiden tag at Brighton. With the promising Ahmed Ajteb (rode a Royal Ascot winner) taking off a handy 5lb, and ideal conditions all in his favour, I expect Mudhish to past the post first! (Early Price 11/1)
UP
20 Jun 2008
Royal Ascot Friday Double...
Ascot 15:05 - Bronze Cannon
1m 4f, Class 1 King Edward Vii Stakes (Group 2) - Good to Firm, Firm in Places
John Gosden's horses are flying at present and the fact that this horse was entered for the Derby, yet saved for Royal Ascot should tell you all you need to know. Progressive with every outing this year, my attention is suddenly brought to the form of his Newmarket outing in the spring when he disposed of the subsequent Derby 4Th Doctor Freemantle. Guaranteed to get the trip, Jimmy Fortunes mount is a confident selection at a very decent price. (Early Price 4/1)
UP
Ascot 15:45 - Spacious
1m, Class 1 Coronation Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) - Good to Firm, Firm in Places
A firm favourite of The Analyst's James Fanshaw's fillie was an Un-lucky loser in the 1000 Guineas and can claim her prize today under the classy Jamie Spencer. With Infallible and Lush Lushes having plenty to find and Jamie making more use of her speed on the drying ground I can only see one outcome and hopefully another Double landed. (Early Price 3/1)
UP
See You On Monday...
Labels:
Bronze Cannon,
Doctor Freemantle,
Infallible,
Lush Lashes,
Spacious
19 Jun 2008
Royal Ascot, Thursday Double...
Ascot 14:30 - South Central
5f, Class 1 Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) - Good to Firm
Don't get me wrong, the maiden that our selection won at Carlisle on the 2ND of June, was not the hottest heat around however, when you report back that a 13l victory did not flatter Howard Johnson's Colt then we have a serious animal on our hands. Sure to improve for his race course debut and suited by the quicker ground, Robert Winston looks like he is on the one to beat and The Analyst urges you to get on!! (Early Price 5/2)
WON 11/4F
Ascot 17:30 - Colony
1m 4f, Class 2 King George V Heritage Handicap - Good to Firm
This is the one, This is his chance, This is when Ryan Moore rides his first EVER Royal Ascot Winner and you were on! I have a love affair with Sir Michael Stoute's 3 year old's and however wrong that maybe, it's a profitable compulsion to have. Colony fits the bill exactly, a strongly developing colt, that has been well placed in his races so far this term and is crying out for today's step up in trip. 3rd last time out behind Strategic Mission, our selection re-opposes Paul Cole's charge, 6lb's better off at the weights for a 2 3/4l defeat. (Early Price 6/1)
WON 11/2
DOUBLE WON 24/1
18 Jun 2008
Royal Ascot, Wednesday E/W Double...
Ascot 15:45 - Phoenix Tower E/W
1m 2f, Class 1 Prince of Wales Stakes (Group 1) - Good to Firm
The old master Henry Cecil saddles the progressive Phoenix Tower and what looks to be another great chance for him to add to his already impressive Royal Ascot tally. A battling 2ND last time out behind the impressive yard stick Creachadoir, Phoenix Tower is sure to appreciate the step up in trip and rattling fast ground under-foot. The Hat-trick seeking Duke of Marmalade may give our selection most to worry about, however at an early price of 5/1 our selection is an E/W steel!! (Early Price 5/1)
2ND 7/1
Ascot 16:20 - Lang Shinning E/W
1m, Class 2 Royal Hunt Cup Handicap - Good to Firm
The Royal Hunt Cup, is one of my favourite races at Royal Ascot. 20+ runners do battle over the straight mile and despite being a staying race of sorts, speed is certainly of the essence. Un-sure as to the draw bias and whether or not you wont to be high or low, I think the fact that Lang Shinning is drawn against the Red Hot Favourite for the race Bankable can only be another positive. 2ND last time out in a class 1, Sir Michaels Stoute's colt sets the standard here and with former champ Kieran Fallon being so bullish about his chances, this is another E/W bet not to miss! (Early Price 6/1)
UP 7/1
17 Jun 2008
Royal Ascot, Tuesday Double...
Ascot 14:30 - Tariq
1m, Class 1 Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) - Good to Firm
Peter Chapple-Hyam, has a good Ascot record and can the 2008 Rotal Meeting off to a flyer today. Jimmy Fortune gets the lep up on the talented Tariq, whose decent 3rd behind Creachadoir last time out will have him spot on for today. Gauranteed to love the ground this striking chestnut colt should take all the beating in today's opener. (Early Price 5/1)
UP 5/1
Thirsk 16:00 - Princess Taylor
1m, Class 3 Fillies' Handicap - Firm
The firmer the better for Princess Taylor as she looks to have ideal conditions to get off the mark in the 2008 flat season. After a creditable 2nd of 18 at Newmarket last time, this tough filly is expected to go one better today for the inform M.Botti (21% strike rate in the last 14 days) and the positive jockey booking of Daryl Holland. (Early Price 9/2)
WON 7/2
8 Jun 2008
5 Jun 2008
Oaks & Derby 2008 E/W Double...
Friday Epsom 16:05 - Sail
1m 4f, Class 1 Juddmonte Oaks' (Group 1) - Good
A tough race with plenty of appealing types that looks sure to live up to it's billing as one of the best Fillies races of recent times. The Irish have a strong hand, and I would be very surprised if the Juddmonte trophy didn't disappear over the emerald isle at approximately 16:10 today. Jim Bolger's Lush Lashes has been all the rage and certainly looks the one to beat, however with uncertainty over her participation until the last minute and the undulating track not certain to suit she may well be worth taking on. On their Chester run I expect Cape Amber to be much closer to Lush Lashes and she may well be the best of the British. Katiyra is interesting and well bread however stepping up 4 furlongs is a worry and she may this just a bridge too far. So with the Oaks going back to Ireland, the confident each-way selection is Sail. Whether by fault or design the immediately eye catching combination of O'Brien and Moore team up on a tough filly that relished every yard of the 1m 3f trip, at the Curragh last time. Guaranteed to stay and well drawn on the inside I expect Michael Tabor's filly to at least make the frame! (Early Price 14/1)
UP
Saturday Epsom 16:00 - New Approach
1m 4f, Class Vodafone Derby (Group 1) - Good
With all the controversy surrounding the race, it will probably turn into somewhat of an anti-climax on the day. Love it or hate it, the Derby is world famous and maybe it's about time we started enjoying it as much as millions of other people around the world seem to do. Jim Bolger has been in the limelight more than most and although some of his comments have been slightly controversial I fully expect him to have the last laugh. New Approach is as tough and as genuine as they come. He has been un-fairly labelled at times, suggesting that the son of Galileo can often set races up for his opponents, I don't think this will be case tomorrow. Crying out for this step up in trip and guaranteed a decent pace, New Approach will take all the beating and looks and each way steal!! Doctor Freemantle and Tartan Bearer look the best of the rest, but it may be a frustrating afternoon for Sir Michael Stoute as he could be left to fill the minor places. (Early Price 5/1)
WON 5/1
Thursday Double...
Sandown 18:45 - River Thames E/W
5f, Class 4 Handicap, Sprint Course - Soft
Apologies for the lack of write up, this was due to a technical issue.
UP 11/2
Sandown 20:55 - Blacktoft E/W
1m 2f, Class 4 Handicap, Round Course - Good to Soft
Apologies for the lack of write up, this was due to a technical issue.
UP 6/1
4 Jun 2008
Wednesday Double...
Kempton 19:10 - Viva Vettori
1m 2f, Class 3 Handicap - Standard
Forgiven his last run at Newmarket, that was just too bad to be true, Viva Vettori returns to his beloved Kempton today and looks the one to beat in competitive Class 3 Handicap. Two from Two at the Sunbury track and a course distance winner last September, Richard Quinn's mount is only off a 4lb higher mark and looks well in too complete the hatrick. (Early Price 6/1)
UP
Kempton 19:40 - Galeota
5f, Class 1 Listed Stakes - Standard
Galeota is an interesting recruit to the all-weather game and looks to have an outstanding chance in a weak looking Class 1. Successful off a mark of 107 on the turf, and a former group 2 winner, Richard Hannon looks to have found the ideal opportunity to get his 6 year old gelding back in the winners circle after 6 month absence. A decent 4Th at the Curragh last time out, get on Galeota today! (Early Price 3/1)
UP
2 Jun 2008
Tuesday Double...
Sedgefield 18:35 - Willie Pep
2m, Class 4 Novices' Chase - Good, Good to Soft in Places
A decent 2ND to Deep Purple at Ascot last time out, Willie Pep sets the standard and on his hurdles form looks the one to beat on his chasing bow. Charlie Egerton & Tony McCoy is combination to always keep on your side and the Chaddleworth based trainer, knows the time of day when it comes to his novice chasers. Interesting that he starts his gelding off here at Sedgefield, this looks to good to miss.
NR
New Selection -
RIPON 15:30 - High Curragh
UP 4/1
Un-suited by the eventually heavy going, it wasn't so much of a surprise to see him out of the places on that type of ground but actually taking his chance in the line up in the 1st place. With what seemed like hundreds of non-runners all over Britain today, our summer weather is not really helping, is it!
Sedgefield 19:35 - Compromiznotension
2m 1f, Class 4 Novices' Hurdle - Good, Good to Firm in Places
Decent enough on the flat for trainer Ian Semple, Compromiznotension has been slightly frustrating over timber, however it looks as though his present trainer, Howard Johnson looks to have found an ideal opportunity to get his 5 year old off the mark. A repeat of his 2ND last time out at Wetherby will be good enough to take this under the rejuvenated Denis O'regan.
2ND 1/3F
Please click on tag below and see previous result for reflection of todays efforts. Surely this horse should be renamed, Compromiztoomuchtension.
Labels:
Compromiznotension,
Deep Purple,
High Curragh,
Willie Pep
1 Jun 2008
Monday Double...
Leicester 15:30 - Once Upon A Grace
7f, Class 2 Fillies Condition Stakes - Good, Good to Soft in places
Having had a pipe opener in a Group 3 at Lingfield last time out The Analyst feels that this filly has the class in the the field to win this race. Winning comfortably on debut and then running respectively in a 1000 Guineas trial last year, this filly clearly has some ability and looks to have Silca Chiave to beat who is coming off a 348 day break but does boast some very useful Group 1 form back in 2006. Brian Meehan has been in solid enough form over the last few weeks so lets hope we start the week off on a high.
NR
Naas 15:40 - Tax Free
5f, Class 1 (Listed) Stakes - Good to Firm
It seems as though this animal has been around for years but 6 isn't old and this race provides this bay gelding with a chance to notch up his 11th career win. A course and distance winner before I feel the selection will act best in the conditions, 5f and quick ground whereas his main rivals don't have as bigger pull in the weights or want softer ground and a bit further. Hopefully now is the time to catch Dandy Nicholls' runner. (Early Price 2/1)
WON 5/4f
* Please note that The Analyst replaced the earlier NR Once Upon A Grace with Balthazaar's Gift. (20:00 Windsor) This won at 10/3 and the double paid 12/1, this figure has been included in our £1 level stake return and win percentage for our own records. Apologies for not amending the write up.
Labels:
Balthazaar's Gift,
Once Upon A Grace,
Silca Chiave,
Tax Free
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