30 Sept 2008
Tuesday Double...
Sedgefield 14:30 - Bergonzi
2m 1f, Class 4 Novices' Hurdle - Good to Firm, Good in Places on the Hurdle Course
Howard Johnson saddled a similar type, Indian Groom to win first time out at Market Rasen on Saturday and can follow up today with the exciting Bergonzi. Even better on the flat than the formerly mentioned gelding, Bergonzi was successful in a Class 4 staying event for John Gosden as-well as being placed in competitive events (Class 3) at both Sandown and Chester. This 4 year old will have done plenty of schooling at home and is taken to get the better of the frustrating Royal Rationale (1st) and the exposed Yachvili (2nd). (Early Price 5/1)
UP
Sedgefield 16:00 - Wise Owl
2m 4f, Class 4 Beginners' Chase - Good to Firm, Good in Places on the Hurdle Course
Pipe and Scudamore combine on what looks to be an outstanding chance in today's 16:00 at Sedgefield. 4th last time out in what was his first time over the larger obstacles, Wise Owl would only have to reproduce that level of performance to be very hard to beat this afternoon. Only beaten 4 lengths the 1st and 3rd in that race have gone on to frank the form and 5/2 looks a massive price for this progressive looking type. (Early Price 5/2)
3RD
Labels:
Bergonzi,
Indian Groom,
Royal Rationale,
Wise Owl,
Yachvili
27 Sept 2008
Saturday Double...
Chester 15:50 - My Aunt Fanny
1m 2f, Class 2 Handicap - Good to Firm, Good in Places
Andrew Balding can build on yesterdays impressive winner at Ascot, Amanjena and notch his 61st success of the current season with My Aunt Fanny, this afternoon. The tough little filly will relish a return to today's C&D, (2 from 2 at what is said to be the oldest racecourse in Britain) and with the underfoot conditions sure to suit she will take all the beating. Sir Michael Stoute's Decameron may give her most to do but that colt has plenty to prove after being well beaten in this grade last time. With My Aunt Fanny attracting significant early money this morning, grab the 4/1 on offer for Liam Keniry's mount and then join The Analyst at around 15:55 this afternoon to go collect! (Early Price 4/1)
UP
Gowran Park - Soft Morning
1m 1f, Group 3 Fillies Stakes - Good
With the Irish eyes all turning their attention to the big prizes on offer in England this afternoon, Sir Mark Prescott will be donning the balaclava and carrying the swag bag as he looks to burgle the Gowran park show piece by bringing the valuable Group 3 Fillies' stakes back to Newmarket.
Soft Morning looks well treated on the best of her English form and having run some decent efforts in defeat at Goodwood and York recently this looks easier and over a trip that looks sure to suit. (Early Price 4/1)
3RD
Labels:
Amanjena,
Decameron,
My Aunt Fanny,
Soft Morning
25 Sept 2008
Thursday Double...
Perth 14:20 - Noble Alan
2m, Class 4 Novices' Hurdle - Good to Soft, Good in Places
High levels of National hunt flat form were transferred into two decent efforts over the sticks, culminating in an impressive victory at Newcastle last time out. Noble Alan, has bags of potential, and the 5 year old is tipped by his experienced trainer, Nicky Richards to have a successful season. With ground and trip ideal, Noble Alan is taken to get the better of the debutant Frontier Dancer who from the Twiston-Davies yard must be respected. (Early Price 7/2)
WON 6/1
Fontwell 15:10 - Ingratitude
2m 2f, Class 4 Beginners' Chase - Good to Firm, Good in Places
This looks to be a penalty kick for the Nicky Henderson trained Ingratitude if he translates his decent hurdle form over the larger obstacles today. AP McCoy gets the leg up and looks to have a great chance of adding to his impressive 36% strike rate in the past 14 days. In the same race JE Snowdon makes his training bow and hopes to lower the colours of his former boss however the Analyst reckons that he will have to wait for another day as Lester Leaps In, is likely to trail our selection home in 2ND. (Early Price 2/1)
3RD
Labels:
Frontier Dancer,
Ingratitude,
Lester Leaps In,
Noble Alan
24 Sept 2008
Wednesday Double...
Perth 15:00 - Freddie The Third
2m, Class 4 Novices' Handicap Chase - Good to Soft, Good in Places
We journey upto Perth this afternoon in quest of today's double and put our first selection in the more than capable hands of Nigel Twiston-Davies. Britain's most northern track is a happy hunting ground for the Cheltenham based trainer and he saddles no fewer than four favourites in today's seven race card. Freddie The Third makes his chasing bow after some encouraging efforts over the smaller obstacles last year. Bread to by a chasing type nothing would have been left to chance with regards to his jumping and he is taken to get the better of the frustrating Carthy's Cross and score at the first time of asking. (Early Price 2/1)
UP
Perth 16:10 - Cebonne
3m, Class 3 Handicap Chase - Good to Soft, Good in Places
Cebonne is a chaser in form and that is more than can be said for the rest of the field and the improving gelding is taken to notch the hat-trick today and land the Double. Progressive enough over staying trips, Paul Maloney (2 out of 2) has built up a strong relationship with the 7 year old and they can make fitness count over their less than inspiring rivals. (Early Price 9/4)
UP
23 Sept 2008
Tuesday Double...
With a string of frustrating 2nd's on the flat The Analyst turns his attention to the jumps and two interesting bookings for the Champ, AP McCoy.
Sedgefield 15:10 - Supreme Being
2m 4f, Class 5 Selling Hurdle - Good to Firm
A winner last time on this gelding's first run in this country, Supreme Being is taken to follow that success with victory at Sedgefield this afternoon. With the best form available in his book and with the Champ booked again he can defy top weight and get the double off to a flyer. (Early Price 11/8)
WON 4/6F
Sedgefield 15:40 - Sharevar
2m 1f, Class 4 Maiden Hurdle - Good to Firm
Another Irish raider and what looks to be another well treated type set to make it's British racing bow this afternoon. A winner over the flat in Ireland his first two attempts over sticks have seen him thrown in the deep end against some talented opposition. This looks a lot easier and with that experience under his belt and with conditions sure to suit The Analyst is backing McCoy to land a double of his own today!! (Early Price 2/1)
WON 5/4F
DOUBLE WON 5.3/1
22 Sept 2008
Monday Double...
Kempton 15:00 - Say No Now
7f, Class 4 Maiden Fillies' Stakes - Standard
Having raced for the first time over course and distance, this well bred filly should know a lot more about what is required to win this time around. Having travelled beautifully into the race she just didn't pick up when required and was held by about 1/2 a lenth close home. She looks to have Sir Michael Stoute's horse to beat. (Early Price 5/2)
2ND
Kempton 17:30 - Inventor
1m 4f, Class 3 Handicap - Standard
We'll take a chance with this bay colt owned by Highclere Thoroughbred Racing. It looks a tricky little finale but there was a lot to like about the way our lad finished last time out, again over course and distance. Providing there is a strong pace then The Analyst feels he has a great chance with the likelyhood of a step up in distance in the future. (Early Price 5/1)
2ND
21 Sept 2008
Sunday E/W Double...
Hamilton 16:10 - Cake E/W
6f, Class 2 Conditions Stakes - Soft, Heavy in Places
Marlborough to Hamilton, Hamiton to Marlborough. A near 800 mile round trip that will all be worth while when Richard Hannon has his Cake and eats it, in the 16:10 today. The un-lucky sprinter has been knocking on the door of victory this year and deserves to get his head in-front. Down in class and up in trip looks ideal and I am taking Hayley Turner to steer us to victory this afternoon. (Early Price 5/1)
2ND
Plumpton 15:30 - Winley Hill E/W
2m, Class 3 Handicap Hurdle - Good to Firm
As the flat horses slug it out in bottomless ground in the north the jumpers and treated to comparative rattling fast ground down south at Plumpton and that will be right up the street of Winley Hill, who looks a great bet to score today off a feather light weight. Felix De Giles gets on well with this tough 6 year old mare who with a repeat of her last performance at Newton Abbott will tale all the beating this afternoon. (Early Price 8/1)
2ND
E/W DOUBLE 5/1
20 Sept 2008
Saturday Double...
Newbury 14:35 - Sayif
6f, Class 1 (Group 2) Mill Reef Stakes - Good, Good to soft in Places
Peter Chapple-Hyam saddles Sayif in an attempt to take today's valuable Group 2 at Newbury. Un-lucky not to have black type against is name already this year, 6 furlongs in this ground looks ideal and the Bay Colt is taken to finish fast and snatch victory from the consistent Lord Shanakill (Won 10/1). (Early Price 5/1)
3RD
Ayr 16:40 - Bushman
1m 2f, Class 1 Listed Stakes - Heavy
A fit and ready to go Bushman looks tailor-made for today's trip and conditions with proven ability to handle the cut in the ground at the Scottish track. Bread to stay and with rock solid form behind Many Volumes last time she is a potentially high class filly with bags of talent. Perks takes on the Analyst selection again after lowering the colours of With Interest last time, but with another hike in the weights and trading at 11/10 the gelding is worth taking on. (Early Price 11/4)
UP
Labels:
Bushman,
Lord Shanakill,
Many Volumes,
Perks,
Sayif,
With Interest
19 Sept 2008
Friday Double...
Ayr 15:30 - Coleorton Choice
6f, Class 3 Handicap - Heavy
Day one of the Ayr Gold cup and after a frustrating week it's time to hit back and land a double today! A stamina sapping course especially in today's bottomless conditions, mean that even the sprint trip of 6 furlongs will take some getting. The Analyst has whittled down a small field of 5 into 2 possible contenders siding with Coleorton Choice and Suzie Quw to fight out a thrilling finish. Although weighted to confirm the placings of there last meeting at Haydock Suzie Quw looks a fragile sort suited by the cut and thrust of a sprint over the minimum trip. 6f is much more up Coleorton Choice's street and in today's conditions he is taken to out battle and out stay Kyle Burke's charge. (Early Price 3/1)
WON 11/4
Ayr 16:05 - Anglezarke
5f, Class 1 Listed Stakes - Heavy
The evergreen Tim Easterby and Davy Allan team up with Anglezarke whom looks the stand out bet in the Class 1 sprint at Ayr today. A model of consistency this year, the improving filly has climbed the ranks this summer and looks destined to finish the year with a class 1 success under her belt. Kyle Burke's Magic Cat, looks the most interesting out of the others although would have to step up markedly to take 1st prize from the worthy 6/4 favourite. (Early Price 6/4F)
UP 7/4F
Labels:
Anglezarke,
Coleorton Choice,
Magic Cat,
Suzie Quw
Ryder Cup...
The Analyst would like to wish Europe all the best in their pursuit of a 4th Ryder Cup Victory in a Row...
(Not to mention that I have a monkey on at evens!!)
Come on Lad's...
The Analyst
18 Sept 2008
Thursday Double...
Pontefract 16:00 - Mango Music
6f, Class 2 Fillies Handicap - Good to Soft, Good in Places
Mango can be music to our ears and get us off to flyer this afternoon. Trained by the "RED HOT" Micky Quinn, this tough filly looks to have a cracking chance in the today's Class 3 at Pontefract. The Ex-Newcastle centre forward now a Newmarket based trainer saddles Mango Music looking to add to his impressive 37.5% strike rate in the last 14 days. He has sent out 3 winners from his last 8 runners with Franny Norton (Today's Jockey) being on board twice. Mango Music chased home stable mate Agnus Newz at Leicester just 9 days ago, with latter already coming out again to win a Class 1 at Chester. With today's step up to 6f sure to suit, she is the flying filly from a flying yard that they all have to catch. (Early Price 11/4)
3RD
Yarmouth 16:10 - Kossack
1m 6f, Class 2 Handicap - Good, Good to Firm in Places
It seems to me the further this horse goes the better it gets. Last seen crushing a field of 14 over 1m 4f, Luca Cumani's 3 year old was showing no signs of stopping and leniently treated he can make it back to back victories this afternoon. Tom Queally is a positive jockey booking and this looks a stand out bet in a decent looking heat. (Early Price 9/4)
3RD
17 Sept 2008
Wedbesday E/W Double...
Listowel 16:10 - Oscar India E/W
3m, Kerry National Handicap Chase - Yielding
Oscar India is a horse we've been looking to back for a long time and with bullish noises coming out of the De Bromhead camp, this looks the perfect opportunity. This 9 year old gelding goes well fresh and will relish the underfoot conditions. With Mister Top Notch holding his ground the weights are somewhat spreadeagled, however our boy looks nicely treated and with a clear round should take all the beating today. (Early Price 14/1)
UP
Yarmouth 16:30 - Samira Gold E/W
1m 2f, Class 1 Fillies' listed stakes - Good
Winner of this race last year, Samira Gold's "C&D" beams out across a in-different form card and points straight to Luca Camani's tough filly being the answer to today's 16:30 at Yarmouth. For the most part she has struggled this year when upped in trip however today's return to 10f and in ground that is sure to suit, The Analyst is looking for an improved performance from our selection. With question marks over a lot of her rivals, if the real Samira Gold turns up today, surely she will be too good for the rest! (Early Price 5/1)
(4TH)
16 Sept 2008
Tuesday Double...
Haydock 14:30 - Boho Chick
5f, Class 5 Maiden Stakes - Heavy, Soft in Places
All 8 maidens stand their ground despite the heavy conditions that will be more than testing for these lightly raced 2 year old's. Ruth Beckett saddles the bay filly Boho Chick who was unlucky in what seemed to be a hot looking heat at Warwick. 4 winners have come out of that race, that was certainly run at a decent lick. Sure to come on for the experience and bread to be suited by the ground, the early 9/2 looks too good to miss. (Early Price 9/2)
2ND
Yarmouth 16:10 - Francesca d'Gorgio
6f, Class 3 Conditions Stakes - Good
Interesting runner in an interesting looking heat. Sir Robert Ogden's colours which are generally more famous for their exploits over the jumps grace us with their presence in the 16:10 at Yarmouth this afternoon. Francesca d'Gorgio is an interesting filly that forgiven her Guineas Flop, looks favourably treated to get back in the winners circle today. Previously an impressive winner of a class 4 event at Newmarket, the return to today's trip could be key and at a decent price she looks to continue Jeremy Noseda's recent good form. (Early Price 7/2)
2ND
11 Sept 2008
Thursday Double...
Sandown 14:55 - Tadalavil
5f, Class 4 Handicap - Soft, Heavy in Places
Horses for courses today as The Analyst is backing C&D winner Tadalavil to provide a welcome boost on the road to recovery for trainer Mick Channon. Suited by being able to get a toe in, this grey gelding looks off a favourable mark and has what it takes to lead home a talented although rather reduced field. (Early Price 13/8)
2ND
Doncaster 16:20 - Drill Sergeant
1m 2f, Class 2 Handicap - Soft, Good to Soft in Places
Mark Johnston's talented 3 year old Drill Sergeant, looks a horse in form and definitely the one to be on today. This mud loving colt will relish the conditions and looks the class animal in the race. Up 6lb's for his impressive victory at Beverley last time, he is a typical Johnston charge that can carry weight and will battle to the line. 9/2 looks a huge price with many of his rivals having plenty to prove. (Early Price 9/2)
UP
10 Sept 2008
Wednesday Double...
Doncaster 14:00 - With Interest
1m 2f, Class 2 Conditions Stakes - Soft, Good to Soft in Places
With just three runners in a decent looking conditions stakes, tactics will be crucial and that means there is only one man to be on! Frankie Dettori is the "master" tactician and revels in races like this. With Interest is a progressive type that will be all the more fitter for his reappearance at Newmarket in August and looks to take all the beating today. Perks, is interesting but is looking exposed and up in class will have to improve again. (Early Price 7/4)
2ND 5/2
Doncaster 14:35 - Galeota
5f, Class 1 Listed Stakes - Soft, Good to Soft in Places
Richard Hannon sends Galeota back out after a 98 day absence in an attempt to take today's Class 1 event at Doncaster. The recently gelded 6 year old has been largely disappointing this year however on all known form he is still the one to beat this afternoon. 3 from 3 at Doncatser and with conditions sure to suit he has the class to beat Benbaun and lad today's double. (Early Price 7/2)
WON 3/1
Just a note regarding the 15:10 - Bonnie Charlie looks a good thing for the same connections as Galeota, however at 8/11 he is probably one to stick in a treble and hopefully boost those winnings.
WON 10/11F
Labels:
Benbaun,
Bonnie Charlie,
Galeota,
Perks,
With Interest
9 Sept 2008
Tuesday Double...
Beverley 15:00 - Nevada Desert
1m, Class 3 Handicap - Heavy
This afternoon at Beverley will be about as far away from a Nevada Desert as you could get, however try telling that to Dean McKeown's mount today. The mud loving Nevada Desert returns to his second home and scene of most recent victory, Beverley with an outstanding chance of claiming career success no. 11! Sure to handle the conditions and just 1lb higher than when claiming a C&D at the end of July, The Analyst is confident his first tip back after his summer holiday's will be a winning one. (Early Price 5/1)
4TH
Lingfield 16:40 - Silent Master
7f, Class 4 Handicap - Standard
Fitness will not be a problem for Silent Master, not when he is saddled by the mercurial Mark Johnston. Progressive enough last season, an impressive record over C&D (not outside the top 3 in 4 attempts) gives this talented 3 year old every chance to make it back to back wins. Joe Fanning makes the journey down south with the colt to try and maintain that teams 100% record. (Early Price 4/1)
2ND
THE ANALYST IS BACK...
Remember to check the Blog each and every week day for the "Daily Double"
Follow our bets and bash the bookies...
Good Luck
The Analyst
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